Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CIMARON-18 in Japan from 17 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC to 22 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CIMARON-18

in Japan

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CIMARON-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	25.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (21 Aug 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 28.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	17 Aug 2018 18:00	194	3 thousand	No people
2	18 Aug 2018 00:00	176	30 thousand	Few people	Japan
3	18 Aug 2018 06:00	176	4.7 million	Few people	Japan
4	18 Aug 2018 12:00	176	28.7 million	Few people	Japan
5	18 Aug 2018 18:00	157	49.6 million	4.5 million	Japan
6	19 Aug 2018 00:00	139	55.6 million	20.5 million	Japan
7	19 Aug 2018 06:00	139	54.9 million	20.2 million	Japan
8	19 Aug 2018 12:00	148	59.5 million	23.1 million	Japan
9	19 Aug 2018 18:00	148	70.4 million	15 million	Japan
10	20 Aug 2018 00:00	157	67.6 million	19.9 million	Japan
11	20 Aug 2018 06:00	148	64.7 million	23.5 million	Japan
12	20 Aug 2018 12:00	157	76.5 million	23.9 million	Japan
13	20 Aug 2018 18:00	157	70.4 million	24.2 million	Japan
14	21 Aug 2018 00:00	157	68.3 million	23.6 million	Japan
15	21 Aug 2018 06:00	157	100.6 million	26.4 million	Japan
16	21 Aug 2018 12:00	167	68.6 million	27.5 million	Japan
17	21 Aug 2018 18:00	185	67.9 million	19.2 million	Japan
18	22 Aug 2018 00:00	185	79.4 million	28.4 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	17 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	13.3, 155.7
2	18 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, 154.7
3	18 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.3, 154.1
4	18 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.4, 153.2
5	18 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	14.6, 152.4
6	19 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.2, 152.1
7	19 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, 151.1
8	19 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16, 150.5
9	19 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	49000 people	16.7, 149.5	Northern Mariana Islands
10	20 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	49000 people	17, 148.9	Northern Mariana Islands
11	20 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.8, 147.8
12	20 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	18.6, 147.5
13	20 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19.5, 146.2
14	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	20, 145.1
15	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	2800 people	21.2, 144
16	21 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	2800 people	22, 142.8
17	21 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	2800 people	23, 141.3
18	22 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	2800 people	24.1, 140
18	22 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	80000 people	26.7, 137.3	Japan
18	23 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 3	185	4.8 million people	53.7 million people	29.9, 135.5	Japan
18	23 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 2	167	24.7 million people	65.6 million people	33.7, 134.8	Japan
18	24 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	3.7 million people	32.3 million people	38.1, 135.7	Japan
18	25 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	43.3, 142	Japan

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kinki	Japan
Shikoku	Japan
Chubu	Japan
Chugoku	Japan
Tohoku	Japan
Hokkaido	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Kushimoto	Wakayama	Japan	City	-
Shingu	Wakayama	Japan	City	31000 people
Tanabe	Wakayama	Japan	City	69000 people
Koyasan	Wakayama	Japan	City	-
Kainan	Wakayama	Japan	City	43000 people
Wakayama	Wakayama	Japan	Major city	370000 people
Nagano	Nara	Japan	City	-
Sakurai	Nara	Japan	City	63000 people
Tokushima	Tokushima	Japan	Major city	260000 people
Kashihara	Nara	Japan	City	120000 people
Fuke	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Tondabayashi	Osaka	Japan	City	130000 people
Izumi-Sano	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Izumi	Osaka	Japan	City	190000 people
Kishiwada	Osaka	Japan	City	200000 people
Kokubu	Nara	Japan	City	-
Sumoto	Hyogo	Japan	City	39000 people
Nara	Nara	Japan	Major city	360000 people
Ueno	Mie	Japan	City	61000 people
Osaka	Osaka	Japan	Major city	2.6 million people
Higashiosaka	Osaka	Japan	City	520000 people
Ikeda	Tokushima	Japan	City	16000 people
Toyonaka	Osaka	Japan	City	380000 people
Suita	Osaka	Japan	City	350000 people
Kobe	Hyogo	Japan	Major city	1.5 million people
Uji	Kyoto	Japan	City	190000 people
Akashi	Hyogo	Japan	City	290000 people
Akutagawa	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Ikeda	Hyogo	Japan	City	99000 people
Otsu	Shiga	Japan	Major city	290000 people
Takamatsu	Kagawa	Japan	Major city	330000 people
Uchinomi	Kagawa	Japan	City	-
Kyoto	Kyoto	Japan	Major city	1.5 million people
Sakaide	Kagawa	Japan	City	56000 people
Maragume	Kagawa	Japan	City	-
Kusatsu	Shiga	Japan	City	130000 people
Echigawa	Shiga	Japan	City	-
Miki	Hyogo	Japan	City	74000 people
Sanda	Hyogo	Japan	City	130000 people
Katada	Shiga	Japan	City	-
Kakogawa	Hyogo	Japan	City	270000 people
Uno	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Takasago	Hyogo	Japan	City	94000 people
Himeji	Hyogo	Japan	City	480000 people
Ajino	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Ako	Hyogo	Japan	City	52000 people
Sasayama	Hyogo	Japan	City	46000 people
Saidaiji	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Okayama	Okayama	Japan	Major city	640000 people
Kinomoto	Shiga	Japan	City	-
Fukuchiyama	Kyoto	Japan	City	69000 people
Maizuru	Kyoto	Japan	City	92000 people
Higashi-maizuru	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Tsuyama	Okayama	Japan	City	89000 people
Izushi	Hyogo	Japan	City	-
Iwataki	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Takefu	Fukui	Japan	City	75000 people
Sabae	Fukui	Japan	City	66000 people
Amino	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Fukui	Fukui	Japan	Major city	240000 people
Tottori	Tottori	Japan	Major city	150000 people
Kasumi	Hyogo	Japan	City	-
Hakodate	Hokkaido	Japan	City	270000 people
Muroran	Hokkaido	Japan	City	94000 people
Date	Hokkaido	Japan	City	35000 people
Tomakomai	Hokkaido	Japan	City	170000 people
Chitose	Hokkaido	Japan	City	92000 people
Kutchan	Hokkaido	Japan	City	-
Sapporo	Hokkaido	Japan	Major city	1.9 million people
Kuriyama	Hokkaido	Japan	City	-
Yubari	Hokkaido	Japan	City	13000 people
Ebetsu	Hokkaido	Japan	City	130000 people
Iwamizawa	Hokkaido	Japan	City	84000 people
Mikasa	Hokkaido	Japan	City	12000 people
Bibai	Hokkaido	Japan	City	29000 people
Sunagawa	Hokkaido	Japan	City	20000 people
Ashibetsu	Hokkaido	Japan	City	19000 people
Takikawa	Hokkaido	Japan	City	44000 people
Akabira	Hokkaido	Japan	City	14000 people
Moseushi	Hokkaido	Japan	City	-
Fukagawa	Hokkaido	Japan	City	26000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Kushimoto-Katsuura	KUJ	unknown				0
Nanki Shirahama	SHM	105	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Kochi	KCZ	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Tokushima	TKS	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Shinodayama		15				0
Kansai International	KIX	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11400
Yao		12	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Kobe	UKB	unknown				0
Takamatsu	TAK	185	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Osaka Itami International	ITM	15	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
		21				0
Kohnan		1	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Okayama	OKJ	245	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Nihonbara		240				0
Tajima	TJH	177	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900
Fukui	FKJ	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900
Tottori	TTJ	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Komatsu	KMQ	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8800
Hakodate	HKD	34	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Sapporo-New Chitose	CTS	21	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Sappora / Chitose		27	Mil.	Paved	Yes	9800
Sapporo	OKD	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Minami Lo		Japan
Farallon de Pajaros		Japan
Kushimoto		Japan
Uraga	JPURG	Japan
Shingu	JPSHN	Japan
Tanabe	JPTAE	Japan
Muroto		Japan
Sakihama		Japan
None		Japan
Tomoura		Japan
Hiwasi		Japan
Yasuda		Japan
Yura	JPYUR	Japan
Aki		Japan
Tachibana		Japan
Shimotsu	JPSMT	Japan
Anan	JPANA	Japan
Kainan	JPKAI	Japan
Komatsushima	JPKOM	Japan
Wakayama	JPHIK	Japan
Tokushima	JPTKS	Japan
Izumisano	JPIZS	Japan
Naruto	JPNRU	Japan
Hannan Ko		Japan
Fukura		Japan
Sumoto		Japan
Sakai	JPSAK	Japan
Hannan (Kishiwada)	JPHAN	Japan
Hiketa		Japan
Shizuki		Japan
Amagasaki	JPAMA	Japan
Nishinomiya	JPNYA	Japan
Kobe	JPUKB	Japan
Shido		Japan
Takamatsu	JPTAK	Japan
Higashi-Harima		Japan
Marugame	JPMAR	Japan
Sakaide	JPSKD	Japan
Takasago	JPTSG	Japan
Hibi	JPHIB	Japan
Naoshima	JPNAS	Japan
Himeji	JPHIM	Japan
Uno	JPUNO	Japan
Shikama	JPHRH	Japan
Hirohata	JPHRH	Japan
Aboshi	JPABO	Japan
Aioi	JPAIO	Japan
Okayama	JPOKJ	Japan
Obama		Japan
Tsuruga	JPTRG	Japan
Maizuru	JPMAI	Japan
Uchiura	JPUCR	Japan
Maizuru Ko		Japan
Miyazu	JPMIY	Japan
Tsuiyama	JPTYM	Japan
Kasumi		Japan
Fukui	JPFKJ	Japan
Fukushima		Japan
Hakodate	JPHKD	Japan
Esasi Ko		Japan
Mori	JPMOR	Japan
Muroran	JPMUR	Japan
Tomakomai	JPTMK	Japan
Wakkanai		Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Nanairochosuichi	Nanairo	Kitayamagawa	1965
Ikeharako	Ikehara	Kitayamagawa	1964
Sakamotochosuichi	Sakamoto	Higashinogawa	1962
Kazeyachosuichi	Kazeya	Totsugawa	1960
Asahichosuichi	Asahi	Asahigawa	1978
Hiranabe	Hiranabe	Naharigawa	1960
Osakochosuichi	Osako	Kinokawa	1973
Futagawa	Futagawa	Aritagawa	1966
Yanasechosuichi	Yanase	Naharigawa	1970
Tsuburoko	Tsuburo	Tsuburogawa	1962
Nagayasuguchichosuichi	Nagayasuguchi	Nakagawa	1955
Okumononobeko	Nagase	Mononobegawa	1956
Takihata	Takihata	Ishikawa	1981
Horigo	Horigo	Horigogawa	1969
Murooko	Murou	Udagawa	1973
Shorenjiko	Shorenji	Shorenjigawa	1970
Ananaigawa	Ananaigawa	Ananaigawa	1963
Komyoike	Komyoike	Makiogawa	1936
Sayamaike	Sayamaike	Nishiyokegawa	2001
Onoike	Onoike	Makiogawa	1940
Matsuogawa	Matsuogawa	Matsuogawa	1953
Tsukigaseko	Takayama	Nabarigawa	1968
Ouchi	Ouchi	Tameshimatsugawa	1966
Naibaike	Naiba	Naibagawa	1952
Ishigamiike	Ishigamiike	Nagaogawa	1662
Kinbuchiike	Kinbuchiike	Kasugagawa	1933
Jinnaiike	Jinnaiike	Tenmagawa	1970
Nagarako	Nagara	Ayagawa	2008
Kisenyama	Kisenyama	Samutanigawa	1970
Kamekoshiike	Kamekoshiike	Otanigawa	1633
Otaniike	Otaniike	Izekigawa	1470
Mannoike	Mannoike	Kanakuragawa	1961
Iwaseike	Iwaseike	Takasegawa	1592
Biwako	Biwako-Kaihatsu	Sedagawa	1991
Niike	Niike	Nakadaisokugawa	1663
Fuchuko	Fuchu	Ayagawa	1966
Kinsenjiko	Maruyama	Funasakagawa	1977
Tsukuharako	Dondo	Yamadagawa	1989
Kawashimogawa	Kawashimogawa	Kawashimogawa	1977
Chimyoko	Hitokura	Hitokuraorojigawa	1983
Sengarisuigenchi	Sengari	Hazugawa	1919
Kakogawaozeki	Kakogawaozeki	Kakogawa	1988
Heisoko	Heisodaiichi	Kakogawa	1966
Senjojiko	Aono	Aonogawa	1987
Gongenike	Gongendaiichi	Gongengawa	1981
Tojoko	Kamogawa	Kamogawa	1951
Segi	Segi	Katsuragawa	1951
Tsubaichi	Tsubaichi	Tsubaichigawa	1971
Ogaike	Ogaike		1661
Okuyama	Okuyama	Ichinosegawa	1970
Ginzanko	Ikuno	Ichikawa	1972
Kurokawa	Kurokawa	Kurokawa	1974
Tataragi	Tataragi	Tataragigawa	1974
Hironodamuko	Hirono	Hinogawa	1975
Onzuiko	Hikihara	Hikiharagawa	1957
Kuroki	Kuroki	Kuramigawa	1966
Bushugaike	Bushuko	Omigawa	1920
Ryugahanako	Ryugahana	Tadedagawa	1988
Fujishanoumi	Wagatani	Daishojigawa	1964
Yabetsu	Yabetsu	Shiodomari	1975
Kamiiso	Kamiiso	Hekirichigawa	1990
Komagatake	Komagatake	Shimazakigawa	1985
Ainumako	Ainumanai	Ainumanaigawa	1930
Fujinnoumi	Horobetsu	Horobetsugawa	1967
Pirikako	Pirika	Shiribeshitoshibetsugawa	1991
Azuma	Azuma	Azumagawa	1969
Eniwako	Izarigawa	Izarigawa	1980
Jozanko	Hoheikyo	Toyohiragawa	1972
Hobetsu	Hobetsu	Hobetsugawa	1984
Kawabata	Kawabata	Yubarigawa	1962
Sapporoko	Jozankei	Otarunaigawa	1989
Shimizusawa	Shimizusawa	Yubarigawa	1954
Shuparoko	Oyubari	Yubarigawa	1959
Horomui	Horomui	Mappugawa	1990
Kanayamako	Kanayama	Sorachigawa	1967
Katsurazawako	Katsurazawa	Ikushunbetsugawa	1957
Ashibetsuko	Ashibetsu	Sorachigawa	1952
Tsukigata	Tsukigata	Subetsugawa	1973
Sappinaichosuichi	Sappinai	Sappinaigawa	1926
Aoyamachosuichi	Aoyama	Tobetsugawa	1963
Nokanan	Nokanan	Nokanangawa	1978
Kitasatoko	Kitasato	Sorachigawa	1999
Nokananko	Nokanan	Sorachigawa	1971
Nisshin	Nisshin	Pirikafuranuigawa	1970
Rukuchosuichi	Shintotsukawa	Rukushubetsugawa	1961
Wakkachosuichi	Wakka	Makinosawagawa	1923

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2018 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 18 of 22 Aug 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2018 21:00	Higashi	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.